How a lot oil will the realm eat in 2011? What function will OPEC play in international oil creation? Will biofuels develop into a big a part of the oil industry? The foreign power Agency's (IEA) MEDIUM-TERM Oil marketplace file tackles those questions, adopting a standpoint that is going past the normal non permanent industry research supplied within the IEA's per 30 days Oil industry ReportDrawing on present futures curves and the funding threshold for upstream tasks, the MEDIUM-TERM Oil industry file analyses how worldwide call for and provide balances may possibly enhance within the subsequent 5 years. The forecasts glance intimately at product call for and the provision power from the entire firmly deliberate person upstream and downstream initiatives all over the world. the implications supply precious insights on important matters similar to surplus creation ability and product supply.Policymakers, marketplace analysts, power specialists and an individual attracted to realizing and following developments within the oil industry should still locate this document tremendous helpful. The MEDIUM -TERM Oil marketplace document is one other point within the lEA's powerful dedication to bettering and increasing the standard, timeliness and accuracy of power facts and research.
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Additional info for Medium-Term Oil Market Report
5%-plus annual supply growth during 2001-2006, increments in the rest of the Asia Pacific region over 2006-2011 amount to a modest 1%, or 125 kb/d. Underpinning this modest growth is an increase in supplies from India, Malaysia and Vietnam. In India, redevelopment of the offshore kb/d kb/d Asia Pacific Oil Production Bombay High field pushes production in excess of 1,000 3,000 400 kb/d by 2008, while onshore, Cairn Energy’s discoveries in Rajasthan should start production in 800 2,800 2008, building to an eventual 125 kb/d.
0 mb/d of mothballed Arab Heavy crude at the Manifa development by 2013, with start-up in 2011, have been excluded from this forecast. Although this project has been sanctioned by Saudi Aramco, construction start in 2008 is believed subject to underlying demand. While increased volumes of Arab Heavy might be diverted by new-build complex refining capacity within the Kingdom, it is uncertain whether sufficient refiner demand will exist at that time in import markets elsewhere. Decline rates for Saudi Arabia have been held within a 1-3% range depending on location.
Indeed, early-decade gas growth has tended to take precedence over crude capacity, by accident or design, although it would appear that a resurgence in crude capacity investment is now planned (see below). JULY 2006 37 SUPPLY INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY - MEDIUM-TERM OIL MARKET REPORT OPEC Gas Liquids & Non-Conventional Oil Supply (thousand barrels per day) Increment1 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 06-11 Algeria 760 795 835 845 860 905 890 Indonesia 175 170 165 160 150 145 135 -35 Iran 340 395 425 575 650 645 805 415 Kuwait 125 125 130 140 190 195 230 105 90 130 145 145 140 140 140 10 195 225 230 255 445 565 570 340 465 Libya Nigeria Qatar 100 385 410 500 600 685 835 875 1460 1495 1515 1635 1810 1870 1880 385 UAE 535 580 610 620 720 755 770 190 Venezuela 215 215 220 230 235 245 250 35 20 25 25 30 30 30 30 4295 4560 4805 5230 5915 6330 6580 Saudi Arabia Iraq Total OPEC Saudi MTBE & Venezuelan Orimulsion Total OPEC Non-Crude Yearly Increment 5 2015 170 155 180 195 205 205 205 50 4465 4715 4985 5425 6120 6535 6785 2065 250 270 440 695 415 250 1 Increments may differ to those implied by displayed yearly data due to independent rounding.
Medium-Term Oil Market Report by IEA