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By Ian Senior

ISBN-10: 1472803353

ISBN-13: 9781472803351

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24 Schlieffen’s concerns that his successor would radically alter his war planning turned out to be unfounded. In a memorandum probably composed in 1911 during the second Moroccan crisis, Moltke made it clear that he was in broad agreement with Schlieffen’s strategy though he believed that a war on two fronts was more likely now that the Russian Army had recovered from the conflict with Japan. 61 It may safely be assumed that the next war will be a war on two fronts. Of our enemies, France is the most dangerous and can prepare the most quickly.

A French offensive into Lorraine (the most likely option according to the latest intelligence) would be resisted by the three armies of the German centre and then enveloped on both wings in a giant pincer movement, which would throw them back beyond the fortresses. On the other hand, if they remained on the defensive it was imperative to defeat them quickly before the Russians could intervene. 41 Each day and week that follows after the first day of mobilization, the Russians can come closer to our borders, perhaps even approaching the Vistula.

In his opinion, the Dutch would not stand idly by when the Germans invaded their territory but would declare war on them. ) In particular, Moltke was concerned that if the Dutch declared war on them it would provide 62 the British Army with an advanced base from where they could attack the Germans in the rear. A hostile Holland at our back could have disastrous consequences for the advance of the German army to the west, particularly if England should use the violation of Belgian neutrality as a pretext for entering the war against us.

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Invasion 1914 by Ian Senior


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